Sports gambling can be very profitable if anyone know the tricks the particular “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a best case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Western world California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Virginia had this edge in the match. Yet , My partner and i also realized that there have been a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This game provides all the indicators of being one associated with the most effective games regarding the year, having both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from being down big in the final fraction to winning in overtime.
So what’s the action appear like this year?
In the event that this game were appearing played at a new fairly neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.
All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the included added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like much, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between a good push plus a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home games.
In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points every game from home. In case a person didn’t do the math, that means considering their own last home decline they already have averaged beating their very own competitors simply by about thirty four points per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by means of 13 points per video game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats were being piled up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to acquired recent games where they also have only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
Basically that will this is still a close sport to call. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this particular game and definitely not gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more simple advantages.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they could very well still win right after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on www.ufabet168.bet , people serious regarding gambling saved money they will can put to better make use of on approaching games.