Sports betting can be extremely profitable if you know the strategies this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I actually analyzed typically the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Florida had the particular edge in the activity. However , I also understood that there initially were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This game features all the indications of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, together with both equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back from appearing down huge in the 4th fraction to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

When this sport were being played with a new basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, the additional benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like significantly, but in a close match-up this way, that more point will certainly make the difference between a push in addition to a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 , 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game in the home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points per game from home. In case a person don’t do the math concepts, that means considering that their last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their own opponents by simply about 34 details per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%87%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%82%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2-ufabet means Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by means of 13 things per game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats had been piled up during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have had recent games in which they also have only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still the close video game to contact. But what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this kind of game and certainly not gamble at all. There usually are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they may possibly still win following doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this match, people serious about gambling saved money many people can put to better employ on future games.